What closing line value is
Closing line value — CLV — is a comparison between two prices: the one you actually got, and the one the same market closed at. If you took a side at 2.25 and it closed at 2.05, you got a better price than the market's last. That is the whole of what CLV says.
How you would check it yourself
- Write down the price you got, the exact side and line, which bookmaker, and when.
- Go back after the market closes and read that same bookmaker's final price for that same side and that same line.
- Compare like with like. A different line is a different bet. A different bookmaker is a different market. Either substitution makes the comparison meaningless without saying so.
Why we publish the price and the time
Every pick in the results archive carries the price it went out at and the moment it went out, and neither is edited afterwards — including on the days it lost. That is there so you can run the comparison above yourself rather than take our word for anything. We do not publish a closing line value figure of our own, and if we ever do, it will be described as what it is: a record of prices, not a claim about what anybody made.
The archive
What the published price did in US sports
11,262 games in US sports that are over and carried a price when we wrote them up, between November 24, 2025 and November 6, 2026. Each count sits beside what it is out of, and the share is the one divided by the other.
| What | How often | Out of | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| The shorter price won | 7,058 | 10,936 | 64.5% |
| The favourite covered the handicap | 3,373 | 7,003 | 48.2% |
| The total went over | 5,518 | 11,236 | 49.1% |
| The home side won | 6,361 | 11,262 | 56.5% |
How they ended
Over 16,021 finished games in US sports whose result line says how it ended — the feed's own one-line verdict, not a reading of the play.
| What | How often | Out of | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Went past regulation | 1,212 | 16,021 | 7.6% |
| Settled on a shootout | 161 | 16,021 | 1.0% |
| Called before the end | 9 | 16,021 | 0.1% |
286 games landed exactly on the number — the handicap or the total — so they are in the counts they are out of and in neither result.
The prices counted here are DraftKings', as they stood when we last wrote each game up — one snapshot per game, near kick-off for almost all of them, and never a closing line. So this says what the published line did, not how it moved on the way there.
A season that happened. Nothing here predicts the next game, and none of it is advice.
Counted November 6, 2026.
Today's free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.