Cal Poly Mustangs Triumph Over Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Thursday, February 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET · Stan Sheriff Center
Cal Poly Mustangs 86, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 75, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Cal Poly Mustangs vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?
Cal Poly Mustangs beat Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 86-75 at Stan Sheriff Center on February 19, 2026.
Who was favored in Cal Poly Mustangs vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -800 (about 89% implied). The underdog won.
In a surprising turn of events, the Cal Poly Mustangs defeated the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors with a final score of 86-75 at the Stan Sheriff Center. This victory marks a significant upset, considering the Mustangs entered the game with an away record of 12-16, while the Rainbow Warriors boasted a home record of 18-7. The Mustangs' performance was particularly impressive given their recent form, which included a two-game winning streak prior to this match.
The Mustangs have shown resilience in their last ten games, achieving a record of 5-5. They averaged 81.5 points per game while allowing 84.6 points, indicating a high-scoring style that was evident in this fixture. Their recent victories included wins against UC Santa Barbara and UC Irvine, showcasing their ability to compete against stronger opponents. In contrast, the Rainbow Warriors had a record of 7-3 in their last ten games, averaging 78.8 points scored and 74.2 points allowed, but they were coming off a loss to Cal State Northridge, which may have affected their confidence.
Hawai'i's home record was strong, with a perfect 4-0 in their last four home games prior to this match, but they struggled to maintain that momentum against the Mustangs. The Rainbow Warriors had previously faced Cal Poly on January 16, 2026, where they secured a decisive victory with a score of 86-66. However, this time around, the Mustangs flipped the script, demonstrating their growth and adaptability since that earlier encounter.
In terms of injuries, the block did not provide specific details, but both teams were expected to field their regular rosters for this matchup. The Mustangs' recent form, particularly their scoring ability, was a key factor in their success against Hawai'i. The odds set by DraftKings favored the Rainbow Warriors, with a spread of -11.5, indicating that they were expected to win comfortably. However, the Mustangs defied those expectations, showcasing their capability to perform under pressure.
The game conditions were typical for a college basketball matchup, with both teams competing in front of a home crowd for Hawai'i. Fans were treated to a high-paced game, with multiple scoring plays that highlighted the offensive prowess of both teams. Notable moments included several free throws made by Hamad Mousa, who contributed significantly to the Mustangs' scoring in the second half.
As the game progressed, the Mustangs maintained their lead, demonstrating effective ball movement and capitalizing on defensive lapses from the Rainbow Warriors. The final moments saw the Mustangs solidify their victory with free throws, ultimately sealing the game at 86-75. This result not only boosts Cal Poly's confidence but also raises questions about Hawai'i's ability to bounce back in their upcoming fixtures.
Overall, this game serves as a reminder of the unpredictability of college basketball, where any team can emerge victorious on any given night.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | HAW -11.5 | 160.5 o -115 / u -105 | Cal Poly Mustangs +550 · Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -800 |
Leaders
- PointsDre Bullock22Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
- AssistsHunter Erickson1Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
- ReboundsDre Bullock9Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
- PointsHamad Mousa24Cal Poly Mustangs
- AssistsPeter Bandelj4Cal Poly Mustangs
- ReboundsHamad Mousa9Cal Poly Mustangs
Recent form
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Last 10: 7-3Streak L178.8 scored · 74.2 allowed per game4-0 at home
- L60-84at Cal State Northridge MatadorsFeb 15
- W89-74at Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersFeb 13
- W72-67vs UC San Diego TritonsFeb 8
- W89-82at Long Beach State BeachJan 31
- L76-87at UC Irvine AnteatersJan 30
- W89-68vs Cal State Northridge MatadorsJan 25
- W98-71vs Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersJan 23
- L62-77at UC Santa Barbara GauchosJan 18
- W86-66at Cal Poly MustangsJan 16
- W67-66vs UC Irvine AnteatersJan 11
Cal Poly Mustangs
Last 10: 5-5Streak W281.5 scored · 84.6 allowed per game2-2 away
- W89-79vs UC Santa Barbara GauchosFeb 15
- W79-73vs UC Irvine AnteatersFeb 13
- L58-67at UC Davis AggiesFeb 7
- L96-97vs Cal State Northridge MatadorsFeb 6
- W94-87at UC Riverside HighlandersFeb 1
- W104-79at Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersJan 30
- L78-93vs Cal State Fullerton TitansJan 25
- L67-107at UC Santa Barbara GauchosJan 23
- L66-86vs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsJan 16
- W84-78vs UC Davis AggiesJan 10
Standings
| Team | Overall | Games behind | In conference |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine | 23-12 | - | 15-5 |
| Hawai'i | 24-9 | 1 | 14-6 |
| UC San Diego | 23-11 | 3 | 12-8 |
| Cal State Northridge | 20-14 | 3 | 12-8 |
| Cal State Fullerton | 18-16 | 3 | 12-8 |
| UC Davis | 19-14 | 4 | 11-9 |
| UC Santa Barbara | 18-14 | 4 | 11-9 |
| Cal Poly | 14-19 | 5 | 10-10 |
| Long Beach State | 10-22 | 9 | 6-14 |
| UC Riverside | 10-22 | 10 | 5-15 |
| Cal State Bakersfield | 8-24 | 13 | 2-18 |
| Utah State | 29-7 | - | 15-5 |
| San Diego State | 22-11 | 1 | 14-6 |
| New Mexico | 26-11 | 2 | 13-7 |
| Grand Canyon | 20-12 | 2 | 13-7 |
| Nevada | 24-13 | 3 | 12-8 |
| Boise State | 20-12 | 3 | 12-8 |
| Colorado State | 21-13 | 4 | 11-9 |
| UNLV | 18-17 | 4 | 11-9 |
| Wyoming | 18-15 | 6 | 9-11 |
| Fresno State | 13-19 | 8 | 7-13 |
| San José State | 9-24 | 12 | 3-17 |
| Air Force | 3-29 | 15 | 0-20 |
Box score
| Stat | Cal Poly Mustangs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 28-62 | 23-60 |
| Field goal % | 45 | 38 |
| Three-pointers | 8-28 | 3-23 |
| Three-point % | 29 | 13 |
| Free throws | 22-27 | 26-38 |
| Free throw % | 81 | 68 |
| Rebounds | 34 | 44 |
| Offensive rebounds | 5 | 13 |
| Defensive rebounds | 29 | 31 |
| Assists | 9 | 2 |
| Steals | 9 | 4 |
| Blocks | 2 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 13 | 17 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 1 |
| Points off turnovers | 22 | 4 |
| Fast-break points | 23 | 18 |
| Points in the paint | 40 | 40 |
| Fouls | 28 | 24 |
| Largest lead | 15 | 0 |
| Lead changes | 0 | 0 |
| Time in front | 96 | 0 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Half52-49Dre Bullock makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half52-50Dre Bullock makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half52-52Dre Bullock makes driving layup
- 2nd Half55-52Cayden Ward makes 26-foot three point jumper (Peter Bandelj assists)
- 2nd Half57-52Cayden Ward makes driving layup
- 2nd Half59-52Troy Plumtree makes driving layup
- 2nd Half61-52Troy Plumtree makes 2-foot dunk
- 2nd Half61-54Dre Bullock makes driving layup
- 2nd Half61-55Gytis Nemeiksa makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half61-57Yacine Toumi makes driving layup
- 2nd Half64-57Guzman Vasilic makes 26-foot three point jumper (Austin Goode assists)
- 2nd Half64-58Dre Bullock makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half64-60Yacine Toumi makes layup
- 2nd Half64-61Yacine Toumi makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half64-62Yacine Toumi makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half66-62Peter Bandelj makes driving layup
- 2nd Half67-62Peter Bandelj makes free throw 1 of 1
- 2nd Half67-63Yacine Toumi makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half69-63Hamad Mousa makes layup
- 2nd Half72-63Jake Davis makes 25-foot three point jumper (Austin Goode assists)
- 2nd Half73-63Peter Bandelj makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half73-65Isaac Johnson makes layup
- 2nd Half75-65Hamad Mousa makes layup
- 2nd Half76-65Hamad Mousa makes free throw 1 of 1
- 2nd Half77-65Peter Bandelj makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half78-65Peter Bandelj makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half78-67Dre Bullock makes driving layup
- 2nd Half79-67Hamad Mousa makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half79-69Hunter Erickson makes driving layup
- 2nd Half79-70Hunter Erickson makes free throw 1 of 1
- 2nd Half80-70Peter Bandelj makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half80-71Dre Bullock makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half81-71Hamad Mousa makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half82-71Hamad Mousa makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half82-73Hunter Erickson makes driving layup
- 2nd Half83-73Hamad Mousa makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half84-73Hamad Mousa makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half85-73Cayden Ward makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half86-73Cayden Ward makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half86-75Isaac Finlinson makes layup
Win probability
Above the line favours Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, below favours Cal Poly Mustangs.
Venue
- Stan Sheriff CenterHonolulu, HI
- Attendance4547
- OfficialsJon Campbell, Nomi Kidwai, Wesley Ford
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Picks for NCAAB
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- Hawai'i Defeats Cal Poly in Dominant PerformanceJan 15, 2026