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NCAAB · Final

Hawai'i Defeats Cal Poly in Dominant Performance

Thursday, January 15, 2026, 10:00 PM ET · Mott Athletics Center

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 86, Cal Poly Mustangs 66, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Cal Poly Mustangs?

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors beat Cal Poly Mustangs 86-66 at Mott Athletics Center on January 15, 2026.

Who was favored in Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Cal Poly Mustangs?

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -265 (about 73% implied). The favorite won.

The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors showcased their strength with an impressive victory over the Cal Poly Mustangs, finishing the game with a score of 86 to 66. This match, held at the Mott Athletics Center, highlighted the disparity in the teams' recent performances, as Hawai'i entered the contest with a solid away record of 13-3, while Cal Poly struggled with a home record of 7-12.

In terms of recent form, the Mustangs had a mixed record of 4-6 in their last ten games, with their scoring average at 81.9 points per game but allowing an average of 84.6 points. Their last five games reflected a record of 2-3, with an average of 77.4 points scored and 79.0 points allowed. Cal Poly's latest game resulted in a win against UC Davis Aggies, where they secured an 84-78 victory, but prior to that, they faced a series of losses, including a narrow defeat to the Cal State Northridge Matadors.

On the other hand, the Rainbow Warriors were riding a wave of momentum, boasting an 8-2 record in their last ten games, with an average of 79.2 points scored and only 64.3 points allowed. Their last five games saw them winning four, with an average scoring of 78.4 points and allowing just 60.2 points. Hawai'i's most recent match was a hard-fought win against UC Irvine Anteaters, where they triumphed 67-66.

The matchup was particularly intriguing given the teams' previous encounters, which had been evenly matched with a head-to-head record of 1-1 in their last two meetings. In the 2025 season, Cal Poly had previously defeated Hawai'i 79-63 at home, while Hawai'i had won the earlier encounter 68-55 on the road.

In terms of injuries, the block did not provide specific details, but the overall performance of both teams suggested they were fielding their strongest lineups. The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had Hawai'i favored by 5.5 points, with a total set at 160.5. The odds indicated a strong belief in Hawai'i's ability to cover the spread, reflecting their recent form and overall record.

The conditions of the game were typical for a mid-January matchup, with both teams likely adjusting to the indoor environment of the Mott Athletics Center. Fans watching the game were treated to a display of skill, particularly from Hawai'i's players, who executed their plays effectively. Key moments included Kieran Elliott's free throws and Gytis Nemeiksa's layup, which helped to extend Hawai'i's lead in the second half.

Ultimately, the game reflected the current state of both programs, with Hawai'i asserting their dominance and Cal Poly continuing to search for consistency. The final score of 86-66 not only underscored the Rainbow Warriors' capabilities but also highlighted the challenges faced by the Mustangs as they move forward in the season.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsHAW -5.5 160.5 o -105 / u -115 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -265 · Cal Poly Mustangs +215

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • PointsHamad Mousa17Cal Poly Mustangs
  • AssistsPeter Bandelj2Cal Poly Mustangs
  • ReboundsCayden Ward9Cal Poly Mustangs
  • PointsGytis Nemeiksa21Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
  • AssistsAaron Hunkin-Claytor5Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
  • ReboundsGytis Nemeiksa11Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Recent form

Cal Poly Mustangs

Last 10: 4-6Streak W181.9 scored · 84.6 allowed per game3-3 at home

  • W84-78vs UC Davis AggiesJan 10
  • L90-95at Cal State Northridge MatadorsJan 9
  • L66-74at Long Beach State BeachJan 4
  • W67-65vs UC San Diego TritonsJan 2
  • L80-83vs Idaho VandalsDec 22
  • L87-108at UCLA BruinsDec 20
  • L80-83vs Montana State BobcatsDec 17
  • L84-88vs UC Riverside HighlandersDec 7
  • W94-91at Cal State Fullerton TitansDec 5
  • W87-81vs Redlands BulldogsNov 30

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Last 10: 8-2Streak W179.2 scored · 64.3 allowed per game1-1 away

  • W67-66vs UC Irvine AnteatersJan 11
  • L73-83at UC San Diego TritonsJan 4
  • W88-45at UC Riverside HighlandersJan 2
  • W66-61vs UTEP MinersDec 14
  • W98-46vs Hawaiʻi Hilo VulcansDec 11
  • W69-59vs Cal State Fullerton TitansDec 7
  • W75-69vs UC Davis AggiesDec 5
  • W92-55vs North Dakota Fighting HawksNov 29
  • W88-76vs Hawaiʻi Pacific Sea WarriorsNov 25
  • L76-83vs Arizona State Sun DevilsNov 21

Standings

TeamOverallGames behindIn conference
Utah State29-7-15-5
San Diego State22-11114-6
New Mexico26-11213-7
Grand Canyon20-12213-7
Nevada24-13312-8
Boise State20-12312-8
Colorado State21-13411-9
UNLV18-17411-9
Wyoming18-1569-11
Fresno State13-1987-13
San José State9-24123-17
Air Force3-29150-20
UC Irvine23-12-15-5
Hawai'i24-9114-6
UC San Diego23-11312-8
Cal State Northridge20-14312-8
Cal State Fullerton18-16312-8
UC Davis19-14411-9
UC Santa Barbara18-14411-9
Cal Poly14-19510-10
Long Beach State10-2296-14
UC Riverside10-22105-15
Cal State Bakersfield8-24132-18

Box score

StatHawai'i Rainbow WarriorsCal Poly Mustangs
Field goals34-6624-61
Field goal %5239
Three-pointers6-238-32
Three-point %2625
Free throws12-1410-17
Free throw %8659
Rebounds3536
Offensive rebounds1014
Defensive rebounds2522
Assists136
Steals136
Blocks54
Turnovers1523
Team turnovers01
Technical fouls00
Technical fouls, total00
Flagrant fouls00
Points off turnovers257
Fast-break points610
Points in the paint4432
Fouls1917
Largest lead231
Lead changes22
Time in front892

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd Half46-37Harry Rouhliadeff makes 23-foot three point jumper (Isaac Johnson assists)
  2. 2nd Half46-40Peter Bandelj makes 27-foot three point jumper
  3. 2nd Half48-40Isaac Johnson makes layup (Aaron Hunkin-Claytor assists)
  4. 2nd Half49-40Isaac Johnson makes free throw 1 of 1
  5. 2nd Half51-40Dre Bullock makes 4-foot dunk
  6. 2nd Half54-40Hunter Erickson makes 27-foot three point jumper (Aaron Hunkin-Claytor assists)
  7. 2nd Half54-41Kieran Elliott makes free throw 2 of 2
  8. 2nd Half54-43Hamad Mousa makes layup
  9. 2nd Half56-43Gytis Nemeiksa makes layup (Aaron Hunkin-Claytor assists)
  10. 2nd Half56-45Cayden Ward makes 4-foot jumper
  11. 2nd Half57-45Isaac Johnson makes free throw 1 of 2
  12. 2nd Half58-45Isaac Johnson makes free throw 2 of 2
  13. 2nd Half58-47Cayden Ward makes driving layup
  14. 2nd Half60-47Isaac Finlinson makes 9-foot jumper
  15. 2nd Half60-49Hamad Mousa makes 10-foot jumper
  16. 2nd Half62-49Isaiah Kerr makes layup
  17. 2nd Half62-50Cayden Ward makes free throw 2 of 2
  18. 2nd Half64-50Isaac Johnson makes layup (Hunter Erickson assists)
  19. 2nd Half66-50Gytis Nemeiksa makes layup
  20. 2nd Half66-51Hamad Mousa makes free throw 1 of 2
  21. 2nd Half66-52Hamad Mousa makes free throw 2 of 2
  22. 2nd Half69-52Dre Bullock makes 26-foot three point jumper
  23. 2nd Half69-54Aaron Price Jr. makes 2-foot dunk (Luka Tarlac assists)
  24. 2nd Half70-54Dre Bullock makes free throw 1 of 2
  25. 2nd Half71-54Dre Bullock makes free throw 2 of 2
  26. 2nd Half73-54Gytis Nemeiksa makes 15-foot jumper
  27. 2nd Half73-56Aaron Price Jr. makes 3-foot dunk (Hamad Mousa assists)
  28. 2nd Half73-58Hamad Mousa makes layup
  29. 2nd Half76-58Gytis Nemeiksa makes 27-foot three point jumper (Harry Rouhliadeff assists)
  30. 2nd Half76-60Aaron Price Jr. makes 3-foot dunk (Luka Tarlac assists)
  31. 2nd Half78-60Gytis Nemeiksa makes layup
  32. 2nd Half80-60Dre Bullock makes layup
  33. 2nd Half80-61Kieran Elliott makes free throw 1 of 2
  34. 2nd Half80-62Kieran Elliott makes free throw 2 of 2
  35. 2nd Half82-62Harry Rouhliadeff makes layup (Gytis Nemeiksa assists)
  36. 2nd Half84-62Gytis Nemeiksa makes layup (Isaiah Kerr assists)
  37. 2nd Half84-63Jackson Mosley makes free throw 2 of 2
  38. 2nd Half86-63Gytis Nemeiksa makes 11-foot jumper (Isaiah Kerr assists)
  39. 2nd Half86-64Eric Brown makes free throw 2 of 2
  40. 2nd Half86-66Jackson Mosley makes layup

Win probability

Above the line favours Cal Poly Mustangs, below favours Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors.

Venue

  • Mott Athletics CenterSan Luis Obispo, CA
  • Attendance2612
  • OfficialsDeron White, Darron George, Ervin Wilson

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.