Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics prediction & odds

The Boston Celtics are set to face the Dallas Mavericks at TD Garden on November 15, 2026, in a matchup that promises excitement. This game marks the beginning of the series between these two teams, with the Celtics having won their last five games and looking to maintain their momentum against a Mavericks team that has faced some recent challenges.

In their last five games, the Celtics have been dominant, winning all five with scores including a 109-102 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks, a 119-80 win against the Charlotte Hornets, and a 123-101 triumph over the Philadelphia 76ers. They have averaged 113.2 points while allowing only 94.6 points during this stretch, showcasing their defensive prowess. At home, they have an impressive record of 4-0, averaging 115.1 points and allowing just 101.3 points.

On the other hand, the Mavericks have had a mixed bag of results recently. They won their first three games in their last five but dropped their last two, including a significant loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves (94-133) and a defeat against the Cleveland Cavaliers (117-127). Their recent scoring average stands at 114.4 points, with an average of 112 points allowed, indicating a need for improvement on the defensive end.

Historically, the Celtics have had the upper hand in their recent meetings with the Mavericks, winning both encounters in the 2026 season. They defeated Dallas 120-100 at home on March 7 and secured a 110-100 victory in an earlier matchup on February 4. This trend could play a psychological role as they prepare for this game.

In terms of injuries, the Mavericks are dealing with several key players listed as day-to-day, including Santi Aldama, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving, and Daniel Gafford, all of whom are nursing various ailments. Additionally, Dereck Lively II is confirmed out due to a foot injury. The status of these players could significantly impact the Mavericks' performance, particularly if Irving, a pivotal player, is unable to participate.

The betting market reflects the Celtics' strong form, with DraftKings listing them as 14.5-point favorites. The total points over/under is set at 218.5, indicating expectations for a competitive game. The Celtics' moneyline stands at -840, while the Mavericks are at +580, further emphasizing the Celtics' favored status.

As the game approaches, conditions at TD Garden are expected to be favorable for basketball, with the home crowd likely to provide a significant boost to the Celtics. Fans should keep an eye on Jayson Tatum, who leads the Celtics in scoring with an average of 26.3 points per game, along with his contributions of 7.5 assists and 6.7 rebounds. For the Mavericks, Cooper Flagg is their scoring leader, averaging 24.1 points, and will be a player to watch as he looks to lead his team against a tough Celtics defense.

This matchup not only offers a chance for the Celtics to extend their winning streak but also presents an opportunity for the Mavericks to bounce back from their recent losses. With both teams having strong offensive capabilities, this game is poised to be an intriguing contest.