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NFL · Final

Patriots Dominate Dolphins in Convincing Victory

Sunday, January 4, 2026, 4:25 PM ET · Gillette Stadium

New England Patriots 38, Miami Dolphins 10, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?

New England Patriots beat Miami Dolphins 38-10 at Gillette Stadium on January 4, 2026.

Who was favored in Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?

New England Patriots were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -1350 (about 93% implied). The favorite won.

The New England Patriots showcased their dominance at Gillette Stadium, defeating the Miami Dolphins with a decisive score of 38-10. This matchup was particularly noteworthy as the Patriots entered the game with a strong home record of 14-3, while the Dolphins struggled with a 7-10 record. The Patriots' recent form has been impressive, boasting a 9-1 record over their last ten games, with an average of 30.2 points scored and only 19.0 points allowed per game. They have also been on a two-game winning streak, reinforcing their status as a formidable opponent.

In contrast, the Dolphins have had a mixed performance lately, with a 6-4 record in their last ten games and an average of 20.3 points scored, while allowing 21.2 points per game. They were coming off a win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but their overall away record of 2-2 indicates challenges when playing outside of Miami.

Historically, this fixture has seen the Patriots and Dolphins meet three times in the last two seasons, with the Patriots winning only once. Their previous encounters included a close 33-27 victory for the Dolphins earlier in the 2025 season, but the Patriots were unable to secure wins in their prior two matchups against Miami.

In terms of injuries, the Patriots had several players listed, including TreVeyon Henderson, who was questionable due to an ankle issue, while Bryce Baringer, Khalil Jacobs, Isaiah Iton, and Marcus Bryant were all on injured reserve with undisclosed injuries. The Dolphins faced their own injury challenges, with Ollie Gordon II listed as questionable with rib issues, and Storm Duck and Darrell Baker Jr. ruled out due to knee and undisclosed injuries, respectively.

The betting market reflected the Patriots' strong position, with DraftKings setting the spread at -14.5 in favor of New England and a total of 43.5 points for the game. The money line also favored the Patriots significantly, priced at -1350.0, while the Dolphins were at 800.0.

Conditions at Gillette Stadium were conducive to a strong performance, and the Patriots capitalized on their home-field advantage. Viewers were treated to a display of offensive prowess from the Patriots, who averaged 32.0 points in their last five games, while the Dolphins struggled to keep pace, averaging only 22.2 points in their recent outings. The game concluded with the Patriots solidifying their playoff positioning, while the Dolphins faced further questions about their consistency and ability to compete against top-tier teams.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsNE -14.5 43.5 o -118 / u -102 Miami Dolphins +800 · New England Patriots -1350

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • TreVeyon HendersonQuestionableAnkleNew England Patriots
  • Bryce BaringerInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
  • Khalil JacobsInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
  • Isaiah ItonInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
  • Marcus BryantInjured ReserveAnkleNew England Patriots
  • Ollie Gordon IIQuestionableRibsMiami Dolphins
  • Ben SimsInjured ReserveUndisclosedMiami Dolphins
  • Storm DuckOutKneeMiami Dolphins
  • Trey MooreInjured ReserveAnkleMiami Dolphins
  • Darrell Baker Jr.OutUndisclosedMiami Dolphins

Leaders

  • Passing yardsDrake Maye14/18, 191 YDS, 1 TDNew England Patriots
  • Rushing yardsRhamondre Stevenson7 CAR, 131 YDS, 2 TDNew England Patriots
  • Receiving yardsHunter Henry5 REC, 56 YDSNew England Patriots
  • Passing yardsQuinn Ewers16/23, 137 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTMiami Dolphins
  • Rushing yardsJaylen Wright13 CAR, 23 YDSMiami Dolphins
  • Receiving yardsTheo Wease Jr.3 REC, 44 YDSMiami Dolphins

Recent form

New England Patriots

Last 10: 9-1Streak W230.2 scored · 19 allowed per game4-1 at home

  • W42-10at New York JetsDec 28
  • W28-24at Baltimore RavensDec 22
  • L31-35vs Buffalo BillsDec 14
  • W33-15vs New York GiantsDec 2
  • W26-20at Cincinnati BengalsNov 23
  • W27-14vs New York JetsNov 14
  • W28-23at Tampa Bay BuccaneersNov 9
  • W24-23vs Atlanta FalconsNov 2
  • W32-13vs Cleveland BrownsOct 26
  • W31-13at Tennessee TitansOct 19

Miami Dolphins

Last 10: 6-4Streak W120.3 scored · 21.2 allowed per game2-2 away

  • W20-17vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersDec 28
  • L21-45vs Cincinnati BengalsDec 21
  • L15-28at Pittsburgh SteelersDec 16
  • W34-10at New York JetsDec 7
  • W21-17vs New Orleans SaintsNov 30
  • W16-13vs Washington CommandersNov 16
  • W30-13vs Buffalo BillsNov 9
  • L6-28vs Baltimore RavensOct 31
  • W34-10at Atlanta FalconsOct 26
  • L6-31at Cleveland BrownsOct 19

Standings

TeamLostPoints againstPoints forTiedWin %WonOverall
Buffalo0488801.00033-0
New England171501.50011-1-1
New York247390.33311-2
Miami363220.00000-3

Box score

StatMiami DolphinsNew England Patriots
First downs1322
First downs passing78
First downs rushing512
First downs by penalty12
Third downs5-135-10
Fourth downs0-10-1
Offensive plays5456
Total yards180457
Yards per play3.38.2
Drives1112
Net passing yards117214
Completions16/2517/22
Yards per pass4.09.7
Interceptions thrown10
Sacks allowed4-200-0
Rushing yards63243
Rushing attempts2534
Yards per rush2.57.1
Red zone trips1-34-5
Penalties7-524-52
Turnovers20
Fumbles lost10
Defensive touchdowns00
Time of possession29:1130:49

Win probability

Above the line favours New England Patriots, below favours Miami Dolphins.

Venue

  • Gillette StadiumFoxborough, MA
  • Attendance64628
  • OfficialsGreg Wilson, Clay Martin, Steven Woods, Jerod Phillips, Dave Hawkshaw, Alonzo Ramsey III, Brian Perry

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.