Patriots Dominate Dolphins in Convincing Victory
Sunday, January 4, 2026, 4:25 PM ET · Gillette Stadium
New England Patriots 38, Miami Dolphins 10, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?
New England Patriots beat Miami Dolphins 38-10 at Gillette Stadium on January 4, 2026.
Who was favored in Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?
New England Patriots were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -1350 (about 93% implied). The favorite won.
The New England Patriots showcased their dominance at Gillette Stadium, defeating the Miami Dolphins with a decisive score of 38-10. This matchup was particularly noteworthy as the Patriots entered the game with a strong home record of 14-3, while the Dolphins struggled with a 7-10 record. The Patriots' recent form has been impressive, boasting a 9-1 record over their last ten games, with an average of 30.2 points scored and only 19.0 points allowed per game. They have also been on a two-game winning streak, reinforcing their status as a formidable opponent.
In contrast, the Dolphins have had a mixed performance lately, with a 6-4 record in their last ten games and an average of 20.3 points scored, while allowing 21.2 points per game. They were coming off a win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but their overall away record of 2-2 indicates challenges when playing outside of Miami.
Historically, this fixture has seen the Patriots and Dolphins meet three times in the last two seasons, with the Patriots winning only once. Their previous encounters included a close 33-27 victory for the Dolphins earlier in the 2025 season, but the Patriots were unable to secure wins in their prior two matchups against Miami.
In terms of injuries, the Patriots had several players listed, including TreVeyon Henderson, who was questionable due to an ankle issue, while Bryce Baringer, Khalil Jacobs, Isaiah Iton, and Marcus Bryant were all on injured reserve with undisclosed injuries. The Dolphins faced their own injury challenges, with Ollie Gordon II listed as questionable with rib issues, and Storm Duck and Darrell Baker Jr. ruled out due to knee and undisclosed injuries, respectively.
The betting market reflected the Patriots' strong position, with DraftKings setting the spread at -14.5 in favor of New England and a total of 43.5 points for the game. The money line also favored the Patriots significantly, priced at -1350.0, while the Dolphins were at 800.0.
Conditions at Gillette Stadium were conducive to a strong performance, and the Patriots capitalized on their home-field advantage. Viewers were treated to a display of offensive prowess from the Patriots, who averaged 32.0 points in their last five games, while the Dolphins struggled to keep pace, averaging only 22.2 points in their recent outings. The game concluded with the Patriots solidifying their playoff positioning, while the Dolphins faced further questions about their consistency and ability to compete against top-tier teams.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | NE -14.5 | 43.5 o -118 / u -102 | Miami Dolphins +800 · New England Patriots -1350 |
Injury report
- TreVeyon HendersonQuestionableAnkleNew England Patriots
- Bryce BaringerInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
- Khalil JacobsInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
- Isaiah ItonInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
- Marcus BryantInjured ReserveAnkleNew England Patriots
- Ollie Gordon IIQuestionableRibsMiami Dolphins
- Ben SimsInjured ReserveUndisclosedMiami Dolphins
- Storm DuckOutKneeMiami Dolphins
- Trey MooreInjured ReserveAnkleMiami Dolphins
- Darrell Baker Jr.OutUndisclosedMiami Dolphins
Leaders
- Passing yardsDrake Maye14/18, 191 YDS, 1 TDNew England Patriots
- Rushing yardsRhamondre Stevenson7 CAR, 131 YDS, 2 TDNew England Patriots
- Receiving yardsHunter Henry5 REC, 56 YDSNew England Patriots
- Passing yardsQuinn Ewers16/23, 137 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTMiami Dolphins
- Rushing yardsJaylen Wright13 CAR, 23 YDSMiami Dolphins
- Receiving yardsTheo Wease Jr.3 REC, 44 YDSMiami Dolphins
Recent form
New England Patriots
Last 10: 9-1Streak W230.2 scored · 19 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W42-10at New York JetsDec 28
- W28-24at Baltimore RavensDec 22
- L31-35vs Buffalo BillsDec 14
- W33-15vs New York GiantsDec 2
- W26-20at Cincinnati BengalsNov 23
- W27-14vs New York JetsNov 14
- W28-23at Tampa Bay BuccaneersNov 9
- W24-23vs Atlanta FalconsNov 2
- W32-13vs Cleveland BrownsOct 26
- W31-13at Tennessee TitansOct 19
Miami Dolphins
Last 10: 6-4Streak W120.3 scored · 21.2 allowed per game2-2 away
- W20-17vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersDec 28
- L21-45vs Cincinnati BengalsDec 21
- L15-28at Pittsburgh SteelersDec 16
- W34-10at New York JetsDec 7
- W21-17vs New Orleans SaintsNov 30
- W16-13vs Washington CommandersNov 16
- W30-13vs Buffalo BillsNov 9
- L6-28vs Baltimore RavensOct 31
- W34-10at Atlanta FalconsOct 26
- L6-31at Cleveland BrownsOct 19
Standings
| Team | Lost | Points against | Points for | Tied | Win % | Won | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 0 | 48 | 88 | 0 | 1.000 | 3 | 3-0 |
| New England | 1 | 71 | 50 | 1 | .500 | 1 | 1-1-1 |
| New York | 2 | 47 | 39 | 0 | .333 | 1 | 1-2 |
| Miami | 3 | 63 | 22 | 0 | .000 | 0 | 0-3 |
Box score
| Stat | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 13 | 22 |
| First downs passing | 7 | 8 |
| First downs rushing | 5 | 12 |
| First downs by penalty | 1 | 2 |
| Third downs | 5-13 | 5-10 |
| Fourth downs | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Offensive plays | 54 | 56 |
| Total yards | 180 | 457 |
| Yards per play | 3.3 | 8.2 |
| Drives | 11 | 12 |
| Net passing yards | 117 | 214 |
| Completions | 16/25 | 17/22 |
| Yards per pass | 4.0 | 9.7 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks allowed | 4-20 | 0-0 |
| Rushing yards | 63 | 243 |
| Rushing attempts | 25 | 34 |
| Yards per rush | 2.5 | 7.1 |
| Red zone trips | 1-3 | 4-5 |
| Penalties | 7-52 | 4-52 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Defensive touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 29:11 | 30:49 |
Win probability
Above the line favours New England Patriots, below favours Miami Dolphins.
Venue
- Gillette StadiumFoxborough, MA
- Attendance64628
- OfficialsGreg Wilson, Clay Martin, Steven Woods, Jerod Phillips, Dave Hawkshaw, Alonzo Ramsey III, Brian Perry
Elsewhere
- NFL depth charts for all 32 teams for 2026 season
- 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Guide: Rankings, mock drafts and analysis
- Fantasy football fast facts: Quick-hit notes to get you ready for your draft
- Mike Clay's Playbook, Part 3: How to manage your team postdraft
- NFL players, coaches, GMs under the most pressure in 2026
- Who calls plays for every NFL team in 2026? What to know
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- Patriots Edge Dolphins in Thrilling EncounterSep 14, 2025