ENSign in
NFL · Final

Patriots Edge Bills in Close NFL Clash

Sunday, October 5, 2025, 8:20 PM ET · Highmark Stadium (Old)

New England Patriots 23, Buffalo Bills 20, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

New England Patriots beat Buffalo Bills 23-20 at Highmark Stadium (Old) on October 5, 2025.

In a closely contested matchup, the New England Patriots triumphed over the Buffalo Bills with a final score of 23-20 at Highmark Stadium. This victory marks a significant moment for the Patriots, who improved their record to 4-2, while the Bills fell to 4-2 on the season. The game showcased the competitive nature of both teams, with the Patriots managing to secure a win despite being on the road.

The Bills entered the game with a strong home record of 6-0 and were riding a four-game winning streak, scoring an impressive average of 33.8 points per game over their last ten outings. However, they faced a tough challenge against the Patriots, who had struggled earlier in the season but had recently shown signs of improvement, winning their last game and averaging 20.9 points per game. The Patriots' away record stood at 1-3 before this match, indicating their difficulties outside of their home venue.

Historically, the matchup between these two teams has been competitive, with both teams winning one game each in their last two meetings. The most recent encounter prior to this game was on January 5, 2025, where the Bills lost to the Patriots 16-23. In their previous meeting on December 22, 2024, the Bills secured a narrow victory at home, winning 24-21.

In terms of injuries, the Bills had several key players listed as questionable, including Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, and Ty Johnson, while Tyrell Shavers was ruled out due to a knee injury. The Patriots also faced injury concerns, with TreVeyon Henderson listed as questionable due to an ankle injury, alongside multiple players on injured reserve.

The market had priced the game with the Bills as the favorites, reflecting their strong home performance and recent form. However, the Patriots' ability to perform under pressure and secure the win demonstrates their resilience and determination.

The game conditions were typical for an October evening in Buffalo, with players needing to adapt to the cooler temperatures and potential wind factors that can influence gameplay.

As the game unfolded, viewers witnessed a tense battle, with both teams displaying their strengths and weaknesses. The final score reflects the competitive spirit of the NFL, where every game can turn on a single play or decision. This matchup not only adds to the storied rivalry between the Bills and Patriots but also sets the stage for the remainder of the season as both teams look to solidify their playoff positions.

Injury report

  • Khalil ShakirQuestionableUndisclosedBuffalo Bills
  • Keon ColemanQuestionableFootBuffalo Bills
  • Ty JohnsonQuestionableLower LegBuffalo Bills
  • Zane DurantInjured ReserveUndisclosedBuffalo Bills
  • Tyrell ShaversOutKnee - ACLBuffalo Bills
  • TreVeyon HendersonQuestionableAnkleNew England Patriots
  • Bryce BaringerInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
  • Khalil JacobsInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
  • Isaiah ItonInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew England Patriots
  • Marcus BryantInjured ReserveAnkleNew England Patriots

Leaders

  • Passing yardsJosh Allen22/31, 253 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INTBuffalo Bills
  • Rushing yardsJosh Allen9 CAR, 53 YDSBuffalo Bills
  • Receiving yardsDalton Kincaid6 REC, 108 YDSBuffalo Bills
  • Passing yardsDrake Maye22/30, 273 YDSNew England Patriots
  • Rushing yardsTreVeyon Henderson6 CAR, 24 YDSNew England Patriots
  • Receiving yardsStefon Diggs10 REC, 146 YDSNew England Patriots

Recent form

Buffalo Bills

Last 10: 8-2Streak W433.8 scored · 24.4 allowed per game6-0 at home

  • W31-19vs New Orleans SaintsSep 28
  • W31-21vs Miami DolphinsSep 19
  • W30-10at New York JetsSep 14
  • W41-40vs Baltimore RavensSep 8
  • L16-23at New England PatriotsJan 5
  • W40-14vs New York JetsDec 29
  • W24-21vs New England PatriotsDec 22
  • W48-42at Detroit LionsDec 15
  • L42-44at Los Angeles RamsDec 8
  • W35-10vs San Francisco 49ersDec 2

New England Patriots

Last 10: 3-7Streak W120.9 scored · 25 allowed per game1-3 away

  • W42-13vs Carolina PanthersSep 28
  • L14-21vs Pittsburgh SteelersSep 21
  • W33-27at Miami DolphinsSep 14
  • L13-20vs Las Vegas RaidersSep 7
  • W23-16vs Buffalo BillsJan 5
  • L7-40vs Los Angeles ChargersDec 28
  • L21-24at Buffalo BillsDec 22
  • L17-30at Arizona CardinalsDec 15
  • L24-25vs Indianapolis ColtsDec 1
  • L15-34at Miami DolphinsNov 24

Standings

TeamLostPoints againstPoints forTiedWin %WonOverall
Buffalo0488801.00033-0
New England171501.50011-1-1
New York247390.33311-2
Miami363220.00000-3

Box score

StatNew England PatriotsBuffalo Bills
First downs2125
First downs passing1316
First downs rushing55
First downs by penalty34
Third downs3-95-9
Fourth downs0-00-0
Offensive plays5661
Total yards338363
Yards per play6.06.0
Drives1010
Net passing yards267245
Completions22/3022/31
Yards per pass7.97.7
Interceptions thrown01
Sacks allowed4-61-8
Rushing yards71118
Rushing attempts2229
Yards per rush3.24.1
Red zone trips2-42-4
Penalties8-9311-90
Turnovers13
Fumbles lost12
Defensive touchdowns00
Time of possession25:2934:31

Win probability

Above the line favours Buffalo Bills, below favours New England Patriots.

Venue

  • Highmark Stadium (Old)Orchard Park, NY
  • Attendance70802
  • OfficialsTim Podraza, Jim Quirk, Shawn Hochuli, Jimmy Russell, Patrick Holt, Jason Ledet, Larry Smith

Elsewhere

Picks for NFL

NFL rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.