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What you are actually buying

You are buying information, delivered: winning main picks, counted in days. The unit is the winning day, not the calendar day, and a package runs until it is delivered, however long that takes.

What arrives

  • One main pick a day: the fixture, the market, the published price, the minimum price, the stake percentage, the kick-off, and the reasoning behind it.
  • Up to ten extras on the same day. Included, settled on their own, and they never touch your counter in either direction.
  • A commitment hash for every one of them, published before kick-off, and the salt afterwards.
  • A day off your counter only when the main pick wins. A loss is recorded, published and costs you nothing.

What you are not buying

  • Not a return. Not an income, not a yield, not a share of anything. Nobody here manages money for you, and this is not an investment — it is not treated as one, priced as one, or regulated as one.
  • Not a bet. We take none. Whatever you stake is placed by you, at your bookmaker, with money that is yours to lose. Why that matters.
  • Not certainty. Chance does not go anywhere. Every pick is an opinion about a match whose result is not ours to control; committing it in advance makes the opinion checkable, not correct.

What is guaranteed, precisely

Delivery. You receive as many winning main picks as the days you bought. We do not guarantee that you make money — we do not know what you stake, how much, or where. Three things are also outside it and are stated rather than buried: your own stake, your bookmaker's limits, and the price you actually got.

And if you want out

  • Before the first pick is released: a full refund. Nothing has been delivered, so there is nothing to argue about.
  • When you close the account: undelivered days come back as money, to the original method — not as more days.
  • Seven days in a row with no pick published: what is owed comes back as money too.
The plain version This is entertainment and information, not a way to make a living. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose, and do not treat a counter of winning days as a forecast of your own results.

The archive

What the published price did in US sports

11,262 games in US sports that are over and carried a price when we wrote them up, between November 24, 2025 and November 6, 2026. Each count sits beside what it is out of, and the share is the one divided by the other.

WhatHow oftenOut ofShare
The shorter price won7,05810,93664.5%
The favourite covered the handicap3,3737,00348.2%
The total went over5,51811,23649.1%
The home side won6,36111,26256.5%

How they ended

Over 16,021 finished games in US sports whose result line says how it ended — the feed's own one-line verdict, not a reading of the play.

WhatHow oftenOut ofShare
Went past regulation1,21216,0217.6%
Settled on a shootout16116,0211.0%
Called before the end916,0210.1%

286 games landed exactly on the number — the handicap or the total — so they are in the counts they are out of and in neither result.

The prices counted here are DraftKings', as they stood when we last wrote each game up — one snapshot per game, near kick-off for almost all of them, and never a closing line. So this says what the published line did, not how it moved on the way there.

A season that happened. Nothing here predicts the next game, and none of it is advice.

Counted November 6, 2026.

Today's free pick (not the main pick)

Today's free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

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or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

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